Global telcos revenue will grow by $300 billion over next 5 years, said new Pyramid Research report “Worldwide Telecoms Revenue Forecasts and Analysis: 2002-2007.” Report said global telecom industry would grow by compound annual rate of 6%, reaching $1.3 trillion revenue by 2007 from $1 trillion in 2002. “Emerging markets, particularly China, are driving the bulk of this growth,” said Global Product Mgr. Elizabeth Bramson-Boudreau, author of report. She said emerging markets were growing 3 times more quickly than developed markets, “which means vendors need to focus on countries such as China, India and Russia if they want to maintain a large share of the global equipment market.” Report said total number of connections would grow by 9% per year, led by mobile (11%) and broadband connections (25%), which would result in shrinking average revenue per subscription worldwide.
Russia export controls and sanctions
The use of export controls and sanctions on Russia has surged since the country's invasion of Crimea in 2014, and especially its invasion of Ukraine in in February 2022. Similar export controls and sanctions have been imposed by U.S. allies, including the EU, U.K. and Japan. The following is a listing of recent articles in Export Compliance Daily on export controls and sanctions imposed on Russia:
Satellite officials are fearful of lengthy delays in obtaining visas may hurt future industry trade shows and may cause relations with some non-U.S. companies to break down, they said. “The visa situation with China certainly could have a long-term effect on cultural business and scientific relations between the U.S. and China,” satellite consultant Timothy Logue said: “I think it should be of concern of every organizer of space satellite or telecommunications conferences in this country which count on significant involvement of foreigners.” Logue has been working on problems on behalf of several clients who do business with foreign companies.
Various elections continued this week at International Telecommunication Union (ITU) Plenipotentiary Conference in Marrakesh. On Wed., delegates reelected Houlin Zhao of China and Hamadoun Toure of Mali to head Telecommunication Standardization and Telecommunication Development Bureaus, respectively. Valery Timofeev of Russia was selected for first term as dir., Radiocommunication Bureau. Elections for 46-member ITU Council took place in Thurs. plenary session. Results are: (1) Region A (Americas) -- Canada, U.S., Brazil, Mexico, Cuba, Argentina, Venezuela, Suriname. (2) Region B (Western Europe) -- Germany, Portugal, Switzerland, Spain, France, Norway, Turkey, Italy. (3) Region C (Eastern Europe) -- Russia, Romania, Hungary, Poland, the Czech Republic. (4) Region D (Africa) -- Morocco, Cameroon, South Africa, Algeria, Kenya, Egypt, Senegal, Tunisia, Mali, Nigeria, Burkina Faso, Uganda, Ghana. (5) Region E (Asia & Australasia) -- India, China, Thailand, Korea, Malaysia, Saudi Arabia, Japan, Pakistan, Australia, Indonesia, Vietnam, Iran. Radio Regulations Board seats filled Thurs. include representatives from: (1) Region A -- Mexico, U.S. (2) Region B -- France, Hungary. (3) Region C -- Yugoslavia, Poland. (4) Region D -- Morocco, Cameroon, Nigeria. (5) Region E -- India, Republic of Korea, Pakistan.
At opening of ITU Plenipotentiary Conference in Marrakesh, Morocco, Mon., ITU Secy.-Gen. Yoshio Utsumi stressed importance of 4-week meeting in addressing global digital divide. “A concerted global policy effort is needed to eliminate the gap between rich and poor when it comes to the flow of, and access to, information,” Utsumi told 1,000 telecom leaders in conference’s opening ceremonies. He said that although telecom capacity grew by 200 percent between 1995 and 2000, “1.5 million villages in the world still lack a basic telephone connection and these could be connected for less than the price paid for a 3rd-generation mobile license in one of the developed countries that is already well- served.” Utsumi reiterated his challenge in March in urging attendees to come up with global policy that would provide connectivity to every village in world by start of World Summit on Information Society, first phase of which will be in Geneva next year and 2nd in Tunis in 2005. Moroccan Prime Minister Abderrahamane El Youssoufi also stressed need to provide information and communications technology to developing world, especially at time “when the world is characterized by crisis and strife.” Utsumi cited euphoria of Internet boom as carrying world into untested waters and said “at times we lost sight of the horizon.” Despite boom in available Internet capacity, he said demand still outpaces supply in developing countries. He said 3 of 4 new phone users connected each year were in developing world. “Two decades of market liberalization, privatization and technological progress have made our industry more efficient and more innovative,” he said, “but it has not necessarily made investors wiser. Nor has it made telecommunication managers more honest, as recent accounting scandals have shown.” Separately, Plenipot on Mon. elected 6 vice chairmen of conference, including U.S. Ambassador David Gross, State Dept. coordinator for international communications & information. Other vice chmn. are Michael Goddard of U.K., Leonard Rieman of Russia, Samuel Chepkong'a of Kenya, Kiyoshi Mori of Japan, Muhammad Mulla of Saudi Arabia.
Charles M. Lichenstein, 75, special asst. to late FCC Chmn. Dean Burch (1969-1974) and later chief U.S. alternate delegate to United Nations, died Aug. 28 at Washington Hospital Center during heart surgery. During cold war in 1983, he invited Russia to leave U.N., saying “we will be down at dockside waving you a fond farewell.” He received masters degree in govt. from Yale, taught political science at Yale and Notre Dame before joining Richard Nixon’s unsuccessful campaign for Cal. gov., then Republican Barry Goldwater’s 1964 campaign for President. At FCC, he played prominent role in drafting new cable rules after court ruled Commission had jurisdiction. In 1981, he was vp for public affairs of PBS before becoming alternate to U.N. Ambassador Jeane Kirkpatrick, leaving in 1984 when he was named distinguished fellow at Heritage Foundation. There are no immediate survivors.
Officials of Newspaper Assn. of America (NAA) and NAB reported directly at White House Fri. to President Bush and National Security Adviser Condoleezza Rice on U.S. media efforts to help develop private TV-radio and publishing in Russia (CD June 24 p5). Bush was present for most of 45-min. meeting, praised U.S. media involvement in assisting Russians and stressed importance of free media as centerpiece of democracy, we're told. NAA and NAB have sent 2 delegations as part of Russian-American Media Entrepreneurship Dialog (RAMED). Rice praised NAB and NAA involvement in efforts to privatize Russian media, saying: “A strong, free, economically independent media is critical to Russia’s efforts to build its democracy.” NAB Senior Vp John Orlando will participate in late Oct. convention in Moscow of Russian National Assn. of Telecasters -- formed several years ago with assistance of NAB Senior Vp Terri Rabel.
Efforts of U.S. broadcasters and publishers to speed privatization of broadcasting in Russia are having “very positive” impact, National Security Council said. Efforts were endorsed by Russian President Vladimir Putin, who declared his “support for a free media divorced from government” in May summit meeting with President Bush in Moscow that was attended by NAB Pres. Edward Fritts and William Singleton of MediaNews Group, chmn. of Newspaper Assn. of America (NAA).
Iridium said it launched 2 spare satellites from Plesetsk, Russia, Thurs. Satellites will join 12 in-orbit spares, including 5 that were launched in Feb.
Mobile phone unit sales declined 3.8% worldwide to 93.8 million units in first quarter 2002, Dataquest said. Consumers are unwilling to invest in data-capable phones sold without appropriate applications, report said. Sales were down in Western Europe and Latin America, but subscriber growth in Russia, Asia, Middle East and Eastern Europe were responsible for healthy global inventory. Introduction of color screens will boost demand, Dataquest said.
Alcatel said Wed. it had completed acquisition of Astral Point Communications in move that added next-generation Synchronous Optical Network (SONET) equipment to product line. Privately held Astral Point developed SONET gear that’s compatible with existing SONET networks but allows carriers to add new services such as Ethernet and wavelength- based virtual private networks. Astral Point becomes part of Alcatel USA. Terms of sale weren’t disclosed. Separately, Alcatel and Svyazinvest said they would partner to manufacture fiber in Russia. New manufacturing facility is expected to start production and ship fiber products to Russian market next year, they said. Svyazinvest subsidiaries include several Russian service providers and country’s largest long distance carrier, OAO Rostelecom, which account for significant fiber purchases there.