The Bureau of Industry and Security is confident it will soon convince allies to adopt similar semiconductor export controls on China, Undersecretary Alan Estevez said, adding that he expects some type of “multilateral deal” finalized in the “near term.” Estevez, speaking during an Oct. 27 event hosted by the Center for a New American Security, also said BIS isn’t “done” imposing chip-related controls and said companies should expect new restrictions on emerging technologies, including on biotechnologies, artificial intelligence software and items in the quantum sector.
Chip export news
Semiconductor company KLA is expecting the U.S.’s new export controls on China (see 2210070049) to hurt its revenue and is looking at moving its products to customers not subject to the restrictions, CEO Rick Wallace said during an Oct. 26 earnings call. The company is preparing for up to a $900 million revenue hit in 2023, but Wallace also stressed the company is uncertain how much its operations will be affected until it receives more guidance from the Commerce Department.
Samsung and SK Hynix view their one-year waiver from certain U.S. export license requirements (see 2210070049) as a deadline and have begun exploring a “Plan B” if they can’t produce certain chips in China, Nikkei reported Oct. 25. After the South Korean chipmakers received a Bureau of Industry and Security waiver to continue using controlled semiconductor equipment in China (see 2210120002), they also “started a campaign to assess the business risks of their operations in China, as well as to plan for different scenarios,” the report said. "Who knows what will come after one year? It might or might not be extended," a person familiar with Samsung’s situation told Nikkei. "The license can be [denied] so that the company could face a case-by-case review." SK Hynix also told Nikkei it’s unsure what will happen after the one-year period ends.
Although the new U.S. export controls against China are likely to have minimal impacts on the U.S. semiconductor industry, a broader implementation of the controls could quickly raise costs on U.S. and allied suppliers and hurt the domestic chip industry, the Rhodium Group said in a report this month. The research firm said damages to semiconductor companies “could balloon quickly under a tightening of controls,” which it believes is “highly plausible.”
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company has halted its work on advanced silicon for a Chinese technology startup to make sure it’s complying with new U.S. export controls (see 2210070049), Bloomberg reported Oct. 22. The Taiwanese chipmaker suspended production for Biren, one of China’s “most promising semiconductor designers,” until it can determine whether Biren’s products are covered by the U.S.’s new advanced chip restrictions, the report said. It said TSMC halted production after coming across public information that Biren’s products outperform Nvidia’s A100 chips, which are captured under the U.S. controls. TSMC didn’t comment.
China’s Ministry of Industry and Information Technology held emergency meetings this week with the country’s leading semiconductor firms to assess the impact of new U.S. chip restrictions, Bloomberg reported Oct. 19. Chinese officials stressed to executives from Yangtze Memory Technologies Co., supercomputer company Dawning Information Industry and others that the domestic market would provide enough demand to make up for any lost sales caused by the U.S. export restrictions, the report said. But the government officials also “appeared uncertain about the way forward and at times appeared to have as many questions as answers for the chipmakers.” During the meeting, YMTC warned the government that “its future may be in jeopardy,” the report said.
Artificial intelligence export controls should only be imposed multilaterally and should contain no ambiguity in order to minimize harm on U.S. competitiveness, trade groups told the Commerce Department this week. They said the controls also should clearly distinguish between “general purpose” and “application specific” AI software so the restrictions only cover items that pose genuine national security concerns.
While the U.S. should pursue a new multilateral export control framework for advanced technologies (see 2206290032), it also shouldn’t lose sight of its trade dialogue with the EU, said Frances Burwell, an Atlantic Council expert, speaking during an Oct. 18 event hosted by the Center for a New American Security. She said both the U.S. and the EU should make sure their Trade and Technology Council “remains a bilateral organization” so they can achieve “concrete” agreements for a range of technology issues.
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The Biden administration should cripple Huawei’s plans to build a semiconductor foundry in Shenzhen through additional export controls, five Republican senators said in a recent letter to the White House. They said Huawei is using Pengxinwei (PXW) IC Manufacturing -- a startup launched by a former Huawei executive, Bloomberg reported -- to build a new chip foundry in a bid to evade U.S. trade restrictions. The letter was signed by Marsha Blackburn and Bill Hagerty, both of Tennessee, Tom Cotton of Arkansas, Ted Cruz of Texas and Marco Rubio of Florida.