Ian Cohen

The coronavirus outbreak is expected to decrease global exports by $50 billion as the spread of the virus continues to disrupt global supply chains, according to a March 4 report by the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development. The slowdown is directly tied to China’s manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index, which fell by 22 points in February, implying a 2% reduction in exports on an annual basis, the report said. The fact that China is a “central manufacturing hub” will have significant “repercussions” for countries reliant on trade with the country, the report said. “Any slowdown in manufacturing in one part of the world will have a ripple effect in economic activity across the globe because of regional and global value chains,” UNCTAD Secretary-General Mukhisa Kituyi said in a statement.

The U.S. Department of Agriculture expects China to begin fulfilling portions of its agricultural purchase commitments by the end of this summer, Secretary Sonny Perdue said during a March 4 House hearing. Although the coronavirus outbreak has delayed the purchase commitments under the phase one trade deal (see 2001150073) and thrown global agricultural trade into uncertainty, Perdue said the USDA has received “signals” that China intends to fully comply with the purchase agreements (see 2002250055). “We believe that China is a shrewd customer. They’re going to buy where the best deal is,” Perdue told the House Agriculture Committee. “We think they’ll come into this market in late spring and summer and fulfill the commitments.”

The U.S. should lobby for increased export controls and more stringent sanctions regimes relating to weapons proliferation at the upcoming Non-Proliferation Treaty review conference, arms control experts said during a March 3 House hearing. While it may be difficult for all treaty members to sign off on a broad consensus document relating to non-proliferation, the U.S. should use the spring conference in New York to seek common ground on controls of items used to produce dangerous weapons.

Companies looking to comply with U.S. sanctions should use screening programs from trusted third parties instead of trying to build their own, according to Brian Grant, head of global compliance of Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group. The need for companies to have robust compliance programs has grown “significantly” over the last several years, he said, and using screening software and procedures from experienced companies creates less risk.

Companies should ensure their data is fully encrypted with no access by third parties before using the new encryption carve-out in the upcoming amendments to the International Traffic in Arms Regulations, according to a cybersecurity compliance expert and a trade lawyer. Although they lauded the ITAR for recognizing that some technology, such as encryption, can protect transfers of export controlled data, both said complying fully with the carve-out may be complicated. “There is a wrong way to do the end-to-end encryption, so you need to be very careful when applying it,” said Alex Major, a cybersecurity and trade lawyer with McCarter & English, speaking during a Feb. 27 webinar hosted by the Massachusetts Export Center.

While it is too soon to tell whether recent U.S. reforms of foreign direct investment screening will prove successful, the regulations introduced novel provisions to incentivize improved global investment screening, according to a former investment screening counsel for the Treasury Department. The Foreign Investment Risk Review Modernization Act (see 2001140060) also appears to fill many of the gaps encountered by previous U.S. investment screening efforts, said Anne Salladin, a Hogan Lovells lawyer and former senior counsel to the chairperson of the Committee on Foreign Investment in the U.S.

A lawsuit filed by 20 states to block the transfer of export controls over firearms from the State Department to the Commerce Department is unfounded, the State Department said, adding that the states don’t understand the International Traffic in Arms Regulations and the Export Administration Regulations. The “plaintiffs are simply wrong,” the State Department said in a Feb. 24 court filing. “Several basic misunderstandings about how the respective regimes operate negate the Plaintiffs’ claims and any basis for preliminary injunctive relief.”

U.S. administration officials will meet with the European Union and Japan next month to lobby for increased scrutiny of transactions involving sensitive technologies, a top Treasury Department official said. The meetings will also feature discussions of recent U.S. reforms to foreign direct investment screening, said Thomas Feddo, Treasury’s assistant secretary of investment security, and come as the U.S. begins to implement those reforms as part of the Foreign Investment Risk Review Modernization Act (see 2001140060). Feddo spoke during a Feb. 26 event hosted by the Asia Society.

China has taken “numerous actions” to begin implementing its agricultural purchase commitments under the U.S-China phase one trade deal, the Office of the U.S. Trade Representative said Feb. 25. China recently announced it will allow imports of U.S. “fresh chipping potatoes” (see 2002240011), lifted an import ban on U.S. poultry and poultry products (see 1911140019) and lifted restrictions on certain pet food imports (see 2002240010) from the U.S. China also updated its list of facilities approved for exporting animal protein, pet food, dairy, infant formula and tallow, updated the list of goods that can be exported to China as feed additives and updated an approved list of imported U.S. seafood species.

The Commerce Department plans to hold the first meeting of its Emerging Technology Technical Advisory Committee this spring amid several delays in issuing prospective members their security clearances. A Bureau of Industry and Security spokesperson said the agency remains “on target” to hold the meeting before the summer despite Commerce officials originally scheduling the meeting for December, and then January, before pushing it back each time (see 2001290032).