Video to Comprise 82% of Swelling Internet Traffic in 4 Years, Says Cisco
More IP traffic will cross global networks by 2022 than in the 32 internet years combined through 2016, Cisco forecast Tuesday. Sixty percent of the global population will be internet users, said Cisco, and more than 28 billion devices and…
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connections will be online, with video comprising 82 percent of all IP traffic. “The size and complexity of the internet continues to grow in ways that many could not have imagined,” said Jonathan Davidson, general manager-service provider business. Since the company's first forecast in 2005, internet traffic has increased “56-fold,” he said. To handle the data surge, service providers are transforming their networks to better manage and route traffic, while delivering premium experiences, said Davidson. IP traffic is expected to reach 396 exabytes monthly by 2022, up from 122 exabytes monthly in 2017, he said (an exabyte = 1 million terabytes). Cisco predicts 4.8 billion internet users -- 60 percent of the global population -- by the end of the period, up from 3.4 billion last year. It predicts 28.5 billion fixed and mobile personal devices and connections in four years at an average 3.6 per person, up from 2.4 per person last year. More than half of all devices and connections by 2022 will be machine-to-machine, up from 34 percent last year. Global fixed broadband speeds are forecast to grow from 39 Mbps to 75.4 Mbps, and Wi-Fi connection speeds will more than double to 54 Mbps. Average mobile connection speeds will rise to 28.5 Mbps from 8.7 Mbps, and video, gaming and multimedia will comprise more than 85 percent of traffic. Gaming traffic is expected to grow ninefold over the period, to 4 percent of traffic, and virtual and augmented reality traffic will skyrocket, reaching 4 exabytes monthly as more consumers and businesses use the technologies. North America is forecast to see triple IP traffic growth to 108 exabytes monthly.